RT Journal Article
T1 Reflecting the energy transition from a European perspective and in the global context—Relevance of solar photovoltaics benchmarking two ambitious scenarios
A1 Breyer, Christian
A1 Bogdanov, Dmitrii
A1 Ram, Manish
A1 Khalili, Siavash
A1 Vartiainen, Eero
A1 Moser, David
A1 Román Medina, Eduardo
A1 Masson, Gaëtan
A1 Aghahosseini, Arman
A1 Mensah, Theophilus N.O.
A1 Lopez, Gabriel
A1 Schmela, Michael
A1 Rossi, Raffaele
A1 Hemetsberger, Walburga
A1 Jäger-Waldau, Arnulf
AB Multiple energy-related crises require a fast transition towards a sustainable energy system. The European Green Deal aims for zero CO2 emission by 2050, while accelerating climate change impacts obligate a faster phase-out of fossil fuels. Energy transition studies for Europe at and near 100% renewable energy are used as a benchmark for two newly introduced scenarios for Europe reaching zero CO2 emissions by 2050 and 2040. A technology-rich energy system model was applied in hourly resolution for Europe in 20 interconnected regions and in full sector coupling covering all energy demands. The results reveal a cost-neutral energy transition towards 2050 based on declining levelised cost of electricity and a pathway with 9% higher energy costs leading to 17% lower total CO2 emissions with an accelerated energy transition by 2040. The two scenarios find shares of solar photovoltaic (PV) in total generation of 61%–63% by 2050, the highest ever estimated for Europe, still below the highest global average shares ranging between 75% and 77% form three independent studies. The central energy system components are solar PV, wind power, batteries, electrolysers and CO2 direct air capture for carbon capture and utilisation. The core characteristic of the European energy future may be best described by a power-to-X economy, which may evolve on the global scale to a solar-to-X economy.
SN 1062-7995
YR 2023
FD 2023-12
LA eng
NO Breyer , C , Bogdanov , D , Ram , M , Khalili , S , Vartiainen , E , Moser , D , Román Medina , E , Masson , G , Aghahosseini , A , Mensah , T N O , Lopez , G , Schmela , M , Rossi , R , Hemetsberger , W & Jäger-Waldau , A 2023 , ' Reflecting the energy transition from a European perspective and in the global context—Relevance of solar photovoltaics benchmarking two ambitious scenarios ' , Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications , vol. 31 , no. 12 , pp. 1369-1395 . https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.3659
NO Publisher Copyright: © 2022 The Authors. Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
NO The work for this paper has been carried out under the framework of the European Technology and Innovation Platform for Photovoltaics (ETIP PV) and in collaboration with SolarPower Europe. The authors gratefully acknowledge the LUT University Research Platform ‘GreenRenew’, which partly funded this research.
DS TECNALIA Publications
RD 29 jul 2024