RT Conference Proceedings
T1 A novel harmony search algorithm for one-year-ahead energy demand estimation using macroeconomic variables
A1 Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho
A1 Portilla-Figueras, Joé Antonio
A1 Muñoz-Bulnes, Jesús
A1 del Ser, Javier
A1 Bilbao, Miren Nekane
A2 Klett, Fanny
A2 Abraham, Ajith
A2 Herrero, Álvaro
A2 Baruque, Bruno
A2 de Carvalho, André C.P.L.F.
A2 Quintián, Héctor
A2 Corchado, Emilio
A2 Quintián, Héctor
A2 de la Puerta, José Gaviria
A2 Ferreira, Iván García
A2 Bringas, Pablo García
AB In this paper we tackle a problem of one-year ahead energy demand estimation from macroeconomic variables. A modified Harmony Search (HS) algorithm is proposed to this end, as one of the novelties of the paper. The modifications on the proposed HS include a hybrid encoding, with a binary part to carry out a feature selection, and a real part, to select the parameter of a given prediction model. Some other adaptation focussed on the HS operators are also introduced. We study the performance of the proposed approach in a real problem of Energy demand estimation in Spain, from 14 macroeconomic variables with values for the last 30 years, including years of the crisis, from 2008. The performance of the proposed HS with feature selection is excellent, providing an accurate one year ahead prediction that improves previous proposals in the literature.
PB Springer Verlag
SN 9783319079943
SN 2194-5357
YR 2014
FD 2014
LK https://hdl.handle.net/11556/2432
UL https://hdl.handle.net/11556/2432
LA eng
NO Salcedo-Sanz , S , Portilla-Figueras , J A , Muñoz-Bulnes , J , del Ser , J & Bilbao , M N 2014 , A novel harmony search algorithm for one-year-ahead energy demand estimation using macroeconomic variables . in F Klett , A Abraham , Á Herrero , B Baruque , A C P L F de Carvalho , H Quintián , E Corchado , H Quintián , J G de la Puerta , I G Ferreira & P G Bringas (eds) , International Joint Conference SOCO 2014 - CISIS 2014 - ICEUTE 2014, Proceedings . Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing , vol. 299 , Springer Verlag , pp. 251-258 , International Joint Conference on 9th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications, SOCO 2014 with 7th International Conference on Computational Intelligence in Security for Information Systems, CISIS 2014 and 5th International Conference on EUropean Transnational Education, ICEUTE 2014 , Bilbao , Spain , 25/06/14 . https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-07995-0_25
NO conference
NO Publisher Copyright: © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014.
DS TECNALIA Publications
RD 29 jul 2024