A framework for risk assessment
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2023-01-01
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Elsevier
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Climate change is predicted to provoke a significant change in weather patterns and an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme events that will test the vulnerability and resilience of the built environment. Therefore the adaptation of the buildings and infrastructures to the challenges presented by climate change becomes paramount for future sustainable conservation and development. The complexity of the interactions among the built system and the multiple and varied drivers of climate change highlights the need for a holistic and operative framework for assessing complex risks derived from climate change. A better understanding of these interactions and the factors that increase the vulnerability of the built environment is needed, including the capacity of adaptation and mitigation effectiveness of solutions and responses. This will support the subsequent design of interventions for a resilient built environment. With this goal in mind, this chapter aims to set the base for the framework of a holistic risk assessment. This chapter is divided into two main sections. The first one starts by introducing and reviewing basic concepts about climate change risk assessment, with a general outlook into risk assessment frameworks. The second section continues with the presentation of the main risks derived from climate change hazards, both direct and systemic, and the aspects of the built environment to be considered for a holistic risk assessment, mainly based on the new Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report. This chapter concludes with a final reflection into the inclusion of responses to climate change and solutions for adaptation as part risk assessment frameworks and the relevance of complex risk within those frameworks.
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Quesada-Ganuza , L , Garmendia , L & Gandini , A 2023 , A framework for risk assessment . in Adapting the Built Environment for Climate Change : Design Principles for Climate Emergencies . Elsevier , pp. 17-36 . https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-323-95336-8.00017-2